The Latest Numbers from Intrade on the Republican Nomination Process and the Fall Election

Posted by Kendall Harmon

Mitt Romney to be Republican Presidential Nominee in 2012--92.1

Barack Obama to be re-elected President in 2012--59.2

Filed under: * Economics, PoliticsPolitics in GeneralOffice of the PresidentPresident Barack Obama

4 Comments
Posted March 22, 2012 at 10:23 am [Printer Friendly] [Print w/ comments]



1. KevinBabb wrote:

Fully conscious of the admonition that “hope is the cruelest emotion”,

I note that, by this metric, the President’s chances of being re-elected have dropped by about 1 percentage point—or about 10%—from last week’s figures.

Hopefully, as they say on Wall Street, “the trend is your friend.”

March 22, 12:06 pm | [comment link]
2. KevinBabb wrote:

My 10% figure is incorrect…what I meant to say is that, over the last week, the extent by which the President’s projected probability of being re-elected exceeds 50% has decreased by about 10%.

March 22, 12:16 pm | [comment link]
3. Cennydd13 wrote:

Obama’s reelection would be the worst-case scenario.

March 22, 3:26 pm | [comment link]
4. BlueOntario wrote:

Personally, I’d rather that some Romney-friendly PAC paid me directly for my vote, rather than pay some media outlet to run ads. The good old days at least featured a keg of cider in front of the ballot place. Today the middleman has sucked dry whatever enjoyment there could have been out of chosing this or that product, er, candidate.

March 23, 12:15 pm | [comment link]
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